Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Rodina Moskva II: prediction and stats
Second League A - Division A GoldFall Season Gold - 18Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Respublikanskiy stadion Spartak, Vladikavkaz
The Footlab model makes Rodina Moskva II the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Alaniya Vladikavkaz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Rodina Moskva II?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Alaniya Vladikavkaz (1,740) and Rodina Moskva II (1,792).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alaniya Vladikavkaz have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Rodina Moskva II have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mashuk-KMV(away) | 0-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo Kirov(home) | 2-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Spartak Nalchik(away) | 3-3 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Sokol Saratov(away) | 1-2 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Volgar Astrakhan(home) | 1-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Volgar Astrakhan(away) | 1-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo Bryansk(home) | 3-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaluga(away) | 0-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Novosibirsk(away) | 3-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dinamo Vladivostok(home) | 0-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Rodina Moskva II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | Rodina Moskva II 2-1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz | Second League A - Division A Gold |
Last archived meeting: Rodina Moskva II vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz on Jul 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alaniya Vladikavkaz score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Rodina Moskva II score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaniya Vladikavkaz | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Rodina Moskva II | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alaniya Vladikavkaz sit 4th in Second League A - Division A Gold (7 points from 5 matches) and Rodina Moskva II sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodina Moskva II | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Rodina Moskva II?
- The Footlab model makes Rodina Moskva II the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Alaniya Vladikavkaz.
- Where and when is Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Rodina Moskva II played?
- Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Rodina Moskva II is played on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Respublikanskiy stadion Spartak, in the Second League A - Division A Gold.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.