Kaluga vs FK Sokol Saratov: prediction and stats
Second League A - Division A GoldFall Season Gold - 18Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Arena Annenki, Kaluga
The Footlab model makes Kaluga the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for FK Sokol Saratov. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kaluga vs FK Sokol Saratov?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Kaluga (1,725) and FK Sokol Saratov (1,692).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kaluga have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; FK Sokol Saratov have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Avangard Kursk(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dinamo Bryansk(home) | 0-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mashuk-KMV(away) | 1-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Iskra Smolensk(home) | 5-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rodina Moskva II(home) | 0-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Nosta(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Novosibirsk(home) | 2-2 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo Vladivostok(away) | 0-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Ilpar(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz(home) | 2-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kaluga win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 FK Sokol Saratov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | FK Sokol Saratov 1-1 Kaluga | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Sep 26, 2022 | FK Sokol Saratov 3-1 Kaluga | Second League - Group 3 |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Kaluga 0-1 FK Sokol Saratov | Second League - Group 3 |
| Nov 10, 2021 | Kaluga 0-1 FK Sokol Saratov | Second League - Group 3 |
| Sep 10, 2021 | FK Sokol Saratov 1-0 Kaluga | Second League - Group 3 |
| Apr 11, 2021 | FK Sokol Saratov 1-2 Kaluga | Second League - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: FK Sokol Saratov vs Kaluga on Jul 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kaluga score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; FK Sokol Saratov score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaluga | 0.9 | 0.7 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| FK Sokol Saratov | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kaluga sit 10th in Second League A - Division A Gold (3 points from 5 matches) and FK Sokol Saratov sit 8th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | FK Sokol Saratov | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 10 | Kaluga | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kaluga vs FK Sokol Saratov?
- The Footlab model makes Kaluga the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for FK Sokol Saratov.
- Where and when is Kaluga vs FK Sokol Saratov played?
- Kaluga vs FK Sokol Saratov is played on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Annenki, in the Second League A - Division A Gold.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.