Alanyaspor vs Kasımpaşa: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)GAIN Park Stadium, Antalya
The Footlab model makes Alanyaspor the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Kasımpaşa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alanyaspor vs Kasımpaşa?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Alanyaspor (1,944) and Kasımpaşa (1,921).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alanyaspor have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Kasımpaşa have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Beşiktaş(home) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gaziantep FK(away) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 16, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(away) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| May 9, 2026 | Kayserispor(home) | 3-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 3, 2026 | Antalyaspor(away) | 0-0 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Çorum FK(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Trabzonspor(home) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Alanyaspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Kasımpaşa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Kasımpaşa 1-0 Alanyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Alanyaspor 1-2 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Kasımpaşa 2-1 Alanyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Alanyaspor 1-2 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Kasımpaşa 2-1 Alanyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Alanyaspor 3-3 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alanyaspor score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kasımpaşa score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Kasımpaşa | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alanyaspor sit 5th in Süper Lig (4 points from 2 matches) and Kasımpaşa sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Alanyaspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Kasımpaşa | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alanyaspor vs Kasımpaşa?
- The Footlab model makes Alanyaspor the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Kasımpaşa.
- Where and when is Alanyaspor vs Kasımpaşa played?
- Alanyaspor vs Kasımpaşa is played on April 18, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at GAIN Park Stadium, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.