Kasımpaşa vs Rizespor: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Kasımpaşa the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Rizespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kasımpaşa vs Rizespor?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Kasımpaşa (1,920) and Rizespor (1,929).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kasımpaşa have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Rizespor have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Çorum FK(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Trabzonspor(home) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 0-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Konyaspor(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pyramids FC(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Abha(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kasımpaşa win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Rizespor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Kasımpaşa 0-3 Rizespor | Süper Lig |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Rizespor 1-2 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Kasımpaşa 3-2 Rizespor | Süper Lig |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Rizespor 0-1 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
| May 18, 2024 | Rizespor 0-0 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
| Dec 25, 2023 | Kasımpaşa 2-2 Rizespor | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Kasımpaşa vs Rizespor on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kasımpaşa score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rizespor score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasımpaşa | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Rizespor | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kasımpaşa sit 7th in Süper Lig (4 points from 2 matches) and Rizespor sit 13th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kasımpaşa | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 13 | Rizespor | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kasımpaşa vs Rizespor?
- The Footlab model makes Kasımpaşa the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Rizespor.
- Where and when is Kasımpaşa vs Rizespor played?
- Kasımpaşa vs Rizespor is played on April 25, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.