Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)GAIN Park Stadium, Antalya
The Footlab model makes Samsunspor the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Alanyaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Alanyaspor (1,944) and Samsunspor (2,038).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alanyaspor have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Samsunspor have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Beşiktaş(home) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gaziantep FK(away) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 16, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(away) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| May 9, 2026 | Kayserispor(home) | 3-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 3, 2026 | Antalyaspor(away) | 0-0 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rizespor(away) | 2-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Göztepe(home) | 3-3 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Alanyaspor win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Samsunspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Alanyaspor 2-3 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
| Dec 1, 2025 | Samsunspor 1-1 Alanyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Alanyaspor 1-0 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Samsunspor 1-1 Alanyaspor | Süper Lig |
| May 18, 2024 | Samsunspor 1-1 Alanyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Jan 17, 2024 | Alanyaspor 1-3 Samsunspor | Türkiye Kupası |
Last archived meeting: Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor on Apr 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alanyaspor score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Samsunspor score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Samsunspor | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alanyaspor sit 5th in Süper Lig (4 points from 2 matches) and Samsunspor sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Samsunspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Alanyaspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor?
- The Footlab model makes Samsunspor the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Alanyaspor.
- Where and when is Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor played?
- Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor is played on December 13, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at GAIN Park Stadium, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.