Rizespor vs Başakşehir: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, Rize
The Footlab AI model makes Rizespor the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Başakşehir. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rizespor wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rizespor vs Başakşehir?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Rizespor (1,898) and Başakşehir (1,986).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rizespor vs Başakşehir
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rizespor
4-1-4-1- 9A. Sowe
- 20Q. Laçi
- 14T. Antalyalı
- 10I. Olawoyin
- 11Adedire Emmanuel Awokoya-Mebude
- 7V. Mihăilă
- 93M. Sagnan
- 54M. Pala
- 17Z. Ariss
- 4A. Mocsi
- 75Y. Fofana
Başakşehir
4-2-3-1- 17U. Bozok
- 14E. Shomurodov
- 8O. Kemen
- 70A. Skov Olsen
- 77I. Brnić
- 18J. Kałuziński
- 23E. Bayram
- 27O. Ba
- 33M. Karbownik
- 38S. Kharebashvili
- 16M. Şengezer
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 12:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rizespor have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Başakşehir have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Çorum FK(away) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(home) | 0-3 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Göztepe(away) | 2-2 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Eyüpspor(away) | 2-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Alanyaspor(home) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gaziantep FK(home) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Konyaspor(away) | 0-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(home) | 4-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Amed(away) | 0-5 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Galatasaray(home) | 2-3 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rizespor win, 3 draws, 2 Başakşehir wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Başakşehir 2-2 Rizespor | Süper Lig |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Rizespor 0-0 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Başakşehir 2-0 Rizespor | Süper Lig |
| Aug 12, 2024 | Rizespor 1-1 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Başakşehir 2-0 Rizespor | Süper Lig |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Rizespor 3-2 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Başakşehir vs Rizespor on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rizespor score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Başakşehir score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rizespor | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Başakşehir | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rizespor sit 12th in Süper Lig (10 points from 8 matches) and Başakşehir sit 10th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Başakşehir | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
| 12 | Rizespor | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 10 |
A question about Rizespor vs Başakşehir?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rizespor vs Başakşehir?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rizespor the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Başakşehir.
- Where and when is Rizespor vs Başakşehir played?
- Rizespor vs Başakşehir is played on December 13, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.