Match

Alashkert vs Ararat-Armenia: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueMatchday 20Kick-off on March 5, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Nairi, Yerevan

AlashkertArarat-Armenia

The Footlab AI model makes Ararat-Armenia the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Alashkert. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ararat-Armenia wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,488 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alashkert vs Ararat-Armenia?

Ararat-Armenia starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,832 vs 1,676).

32%26%42%
Alashkert winDrawArarat-Armenia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Alashkert vs Ararat-Armenia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Alashkert

4-3-3
  1. 14Domi Jaurès Massoumou
  2. 11M. Touré
  3. 17Joseph Sabobo Banda
  1. 7K. Nalbandyan
  2. 8E. Piloyan
  3. 88Rafael Jesus
  1. 55H. Hakobyan
  2. 3Cézar Henrique
  3. 4I. Matiukhin
  4. 5D. Terteryan
  1. 24A. Beglaryan

Ararat-Armenia

4-2-3-1
  1. 91Sandro Lima
  1. 77A. Serobyan
  2. 8J. Balanta
  3. 19K. Muradyan
  4. 7Z. Shaghoyan
  5. 10A. Ambartsumyan
  1. 47A. Malis
  2. 43Bruno Wilson
  3. 16E. Grigoryan
  4. 5Luís Felipe
  1. 98João Bravim

Computed on November 12, 2026 at 11:36 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alashkert have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Ararat-Armenia have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alashkert
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 6, 2026BKMA(away)1-4Premier League
Oct 31, 2026Ararat(away)2-0Premier League
Oct 28, 2026BKMA(home)4-0Cup
Oct 24, 2026Shirak(away)1-0Premier League
Oct 16, 2026Syunik(home)5-1Premier League
Ararat-Armenia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 5, 2026Torreense(away)2-3UEFA Europa League
Nov 1, 2026Gandzasar(home)3-0Premier League
Oct 29, 2026Olympia Yerevan(away)4-1Cup
Oct 26, 2026FC Noah(home)2-1Premier League
Oct 22, 2026AZ Alkmaar(home)0-4UEFA Europa League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Alashkert wins, 2 draws, 2 Ararat-Armenia wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Ararat-Armenia 1-1 AlashkertPremier League
Apr 6, 2026Ararat-Armenia 1-1 AlashkertPremier League
Mar 7, 2026Alashkert 1-0 Ararat-ArmeniaPremier League
Sep 25, 2025Ararat-Armenia 2-1 AlashkertPremier League
Mar 22, 2025Ararat-Armenia 0-1 AlashkertFriendlies Clubs
Mar 15, 2025Ararat-Armenia 3-0 AlashkertPremier League

Last archived meeting: Ararat-Armenia vs Alashkert on Oct 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Alashkert score 2.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ararat-Armenia score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Alashkert2.11.076/159/15
Ararat-Armenia1.91.368/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Alashkert sit 4th in Premier League (25 points from 13 matches) and Ararat-Armenia sit 3rd (29 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Ararat-Armenia12921241029
4Alashkert13742281225

A question about Alashkert vs Ararat-Armenia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alashkert vs Ararat-Armenia?
The Footlab AI model makes Ararat-Armenia the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Alashkert.
Where and when is Alashkert vs Ararat-Armenia played?
Alashkert vs Ararat-Armenia is played on March 5, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Nairi, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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