Ararat-Armenia vs BKMA: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on March 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Yerevan Football Academy, Yerevan
The Footlab AI model makes Ararat-Armenia the favourite at 88%, against 9% for a draw and 3% for BKMA. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,750 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs BKMA?
Ararat-Armenia is a heavy favourite: 1,830 Elo points against 1,445, a 385-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ararat-Armenia vs BKMA
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ararat-Armenia
4-2-3-1- 91Sandro Lima
- 77A. Serobyan
- 8J. Balanta
- 19K. Muradyan
- 7Z. Shaghoyan
- 10A. Ambartsumyan
- 47A. Malis
- 43Bruno Wilson
- 16E. Grigoryan
- 5Luís Felipe
- 98João Bravim
BKMA
4-3-3- 10D. Harutyunyan
- 11D. Davtyan
- 9A. Petrosyan
- 47H. Manukyan
- 29A. Askaryan
- 13A. Sargsyan
- 6A. Petrosyan
- 2A. Khachatryan
- 14P. Krmzyan
- 21D. Dokhoyan
- 22H. Ghazaryan
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 04:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ararat-Armenia have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; BKMA have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Torreense(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Gandzasar(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Olympia Yerevan(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Oct 26, 2026 | FC Noah(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 0-4 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Alashkert(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Shirak(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Alashkert(away) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Syunik(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Ararat-Armenia wins, 1 draw, 0 BKMA wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | BKMA 0-1 Ararat-Armenia | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | BKMA 2-3 Ararat-Armenia | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Ararat-Armenia 2-1 BKMA | Premier League |
| Sep 29, 2025 | BKMA 2-2 Ararat-Armenia | Premier League |
| May 18, 2025 | Ararat-Armenia 4-0 BKMA | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2024 | BKMA 2-4 Ararat-Armenia | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia on Oct 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ararat-Armenia score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; BKMA score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ararat-Armenia | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| BKMA | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ararat-Armenia sit 3rd in Premier League (29 points from 12 matches) and BKMA sit 11th (8 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ararat-Armenia | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 29 |
| 11 | BKMA | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 22 | 8 |
A question about Ararat-Armenia vs BKMA?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ararat-Armenia vs BKMA?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ararat-Armenia the favourite at 88%, against 9% for a draw and 3% for BKMA.
- Where and when is Ararat-Armenia vs BKMA played?
- Ararat-Armenia vs BKMA is played on March 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Yerevan Football Academy, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.