Alashkert vs Sardarapat: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Nairi, Yerevan
The Footlab model makes Alashkert the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Sardarapat. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alashkert vs Sardarapat?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Alashkert (1,691) and Sardarapat (1,628).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alashkert have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Sardarapat have 10, 5 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Gandzasar(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | FC Noah(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | BKMA(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Ararat(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | CFR 1907 Cluj(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ararat(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Van(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Ararat(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Bentonit Ijevan(away) | 3-1 | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Alashkert score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sardarapat score 2.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alashkert | 1.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Sardarapat | 2.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alashkert sit 3rd in Premier League (9 points from 4 matches) and Sardarapat sit 6th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Alashkert | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Sardarapat | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alashkert vs Sardarapat?
- The Footlab model makes Alashkert the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Sardarapat.
- Where and when is Alashkert vs Sardarapat played?
- Alashkert vs Sardarapat is played on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Nairi, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.