Ararat vs Gandzasar: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht, Yerevan
The Footlab AI model makes Ararat the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Gandzasar. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,886 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ararat vs Gandzasar?
On Elo ratings, Ararat has 1,458 points and Gandzasar 1,361.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ararat vs Gandzasar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ararat
4-3-3- 7P. Handzongo
- 30A. Aslanyan
- 17E. Movsesyan
- 10A. Grigoryan
- 6O. Chukwu
- 4V. Samsonyan
- 3A. Khachumyan
- 55G. Lima
- 18Malick Berte
- 33V. Haroyan
- 1A. Anzimati-Aboudou
Gandzasar
4-3-3- 18A. Avanesyan
- 21L. Reis
- 8E. Lizalda
- 14M. Ahouangbo
- 29Decio Neto
- 33Robson
- 55S. Kanda
- 12A. Khachatryan
- 22M. Asatryan
- 2A. Mikhaelyan
- 77D. Davtyan
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 05:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ararat have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Gandzasar have 1, 0 and 14.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Pyunik Yerevan(away) | 2-6 | Cup |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Van(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Shirak(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Urartu(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Van(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Pyunik Yerevan(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sardarapat(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Van(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC Urartu(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ararat win, 3 draws, 2 Gandzasar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gandzasar 0-2 Ararat | Premier League |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Gandzasar 2-1 Ararat | Premier League |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Ararat 0-2 Gandzasar | Premier League |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Gandzasar 1-1 Ararat | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Gandzasar 1-1 Ararat | Premier League |
| Mar 27, 2025 | Ararat 1-1 Gandzasar | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ararat score 1.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Gandzasar score 0.7 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ararat | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Gandzasar | 0.7 | 2.3 | 0 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ararat sit 8th in Premier League (11 points from 11 matches) and Gandzasar sit 12th (3 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ararat | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 11 |
| 12 | Gandzasar | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 3 |
A question about Ararat vs Gandzasar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ararat vs Gandzasar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ararat the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Gandzasar.
- Where and when is Ararat vs Gandzasar played?
- Ararat vs Gandzasar is played on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.