Match

Albalonga vs Aranova: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Pio XII, Albano Laziale

AlbalongaAranova

The Footlab AI model makes Albalonga the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Aranova. The most likely score is 1-1. If Albalonga wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,390 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Albalonga vs Aranova?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Albalonga (1,618) and Aranova (1,645).

39%26%35%
Albalonga winDrawAranova win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Albalonga vs Aranova

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Albalonga

Not enough data to predict the Albalonga lineup.

Aranova

Not enough data to predict the Aranova lineup.

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:14 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Albalonga have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Aranova have 2, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Albalonga
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Certosa V. Campagnano(home)0-0Serie D - Girone G
Oct 7, 2026Certosa V. Campagnano(away)1-4Coppa Italia Serie D
Oct 4, 2026Anzio(home)0-2Serie D - Girone G
Sep 27, 2026Monastir(away)2-2Serie D - Girone G
Sep 20, 2026Sarrabus Ogliastra(home)1-1Serie D - Girone G
Aranova
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Trastevere(home)2-0Serie D - Girone G
Oct 4, 2026Certosa V. Campagnano(away)1-2Serie D - Girone G
Sep 27, 2026Latte Dolce(home)1-1Serie D - Girone G
Sep 20, 2026Monastir(away)1-2Serie D - Girone G
Sep 16, 2026Albalonga(home)1-0Serie D - Girone G

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Albalonga wins, 0 draws, 1 Aranova win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 16, 2026Aranova 1-0 AlbalongaSerie D - Girone G

Last archived meeting: Aranova vs Albalonga on Sep 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Albalonga score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Aranova score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Albalonga1.21.728/158/15
Aranova1.11.034/73/7

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Albalonga sit 9th in Serie D - Girone G (8 points from 6 matches) and Aranova sit 13th (6 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Albalonga6222998
13Aranova6132676

A question about Albalonga vs Aranova?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Albalonga vs Aranova?
The Footlab AI model makes Albalonga the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Aranova.
Where and when is Albalonga vs Aranova played?
Albalonga vs Aranova is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Pio XII, in the Serie D - Girone G.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Albalonga and Aranova

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