Sarnese vs Venafro: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Felice Squitieri, Sarno
The Footlab AI model makes Sarnese the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Venafro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sarnese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,382 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sarnese vs Venafro?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Sarnese (1,715) and Venafro (1,616).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sarnese vs Venafro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sarnese
Not enough data to predict the Sarnese lineup.
Venafro
Not enough data to predict the Venafro lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarnese have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Venafro have 1, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atletico Lodigiani(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Paganese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ossese(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gelbison(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Venafro(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ossese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Gelbison(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Budoni(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Afragolese(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sarnese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Sarnese win, 0 draws, 0 Venafro wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Venafro 0-1 Sarnese | Serie D - Girone G |
How many goals should we expect?
Sarnese score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Venafro score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarnese | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Venafro | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1 | 3/7 | 2/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sarnese sit 1st in Serie D - Girone G (14 points from 6 matches) and Venafro sit 17th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sarnese | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 14 |
| 17 | Venafro | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
A question about Sarnese vs Venafro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sarnese vs Venafro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sarnese the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Venafro.
- Where and when is Sarnese vs Venafro played?
- Sarnese vs Venafro is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Felice Squitieri, in the Serie D - Girone G.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.