Albion Rovers vs Troon FC: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Reigart Stadium, Coatbridge
The Footlab model makes Troon FC the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Albion Rovers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Albion Rovers vs Troon FC?
Troon FC starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,611 vs 1,490).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Albion Rovers have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Troon FC have 3, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Auchinleck Talbot(home) | 1-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Kilwinning Rangers(away) | 1-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Caledonian Braves(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Johnstone Burgh(away) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Largs Thistle(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Beith(away) | 3-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Renfrew(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 2-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gretna 2008(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Johnstone Burgh(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Albion Rovers score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Troon FC score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albion Rovers | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Troon FC | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Albion Rovers sit 24th in Football League - Lowland League (4 points from 6 matches) and Troon FC sit 13th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Troon FC | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
| 24 | Albion Rovers | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Albion Rovers vs Troon FC?
- The Footlab model makes Troon FC the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Albion Rovers.
- Where and when is Albion Rovers vs Troon FC played?
- Albion Rovers vs Troon FC is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Reigart Stadium, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jul 25, 2026Auchinleck Talbot6-0Dalbeattie Star
- Jul 25, 2026Hill Of Beath Hawthorn1-2East Stirlingshire
- Jul 25, 2026Linlithgow Rose1-1Civil Service Strollers
- Jul 25, 2026Lochee United1-1Berwick Rangers
- Jul 25, 2026Gretna 20082-3Caledonian Braves
- Jul 25, 2026Stirling University0-1Broxburn Athletic
- Jul 25, 2026Bo'ness United1-2Tranent Juniors
- Jul 25, 2026Cowdenbeath0-1Gala Fairydean Rovers