Alcochetense vs Lajense: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group DGroup D - 8Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio António Almeida Correia, Alcochete
The Footlab AI model makes Alcochetense the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Lajense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alcochetense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcochetense vs Lajense?
Alcochetense starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,925 vs 1,816).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alcochetense vs Lajense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alcochetense
Not enough data to predict the Alcochetense lineup.
Lajense
Not enough data to predict the Lajense lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcochetense have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Lajense have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Santa Clara B(away) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Aljustrelense(away) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CF Benfica(home) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Imortal Albufeira(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Fayal(home) | 8-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | 1º Dezembro(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Juventude Évora(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Amora(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fafe(away) | 0-4 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Real(away) | 5-5 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
How many goals should we expect?
Alcochetense score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lajense score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcochetense | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Lajense | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Alcochetense vs Lajense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcochetense vs Lajense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alcochetense the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Lajense.
- Where and when is Alcochetense vs Lajense played?
- Alcochetense vs Lajense is played on November 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio António Almeida Correia, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.