Aljustrelense vs Lajense: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group DGroup D - 10Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Aljustrel, Aljustrel
The Footlab AI model makes Lajense the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Aljustrelense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lajense wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aljustrelense vs Lajense?
Lajense starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,816 vs 1,701).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aljustrelense vs Lajense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aljustrelense
4-3-3- PPedro Alexandre Fialho Guerreiro
- PPaulo Costa
- EE. Udokporo
- BBabacar Thiam Fall
- SSene Dabo
- IInsa Sagna
- BBlessed Andrade Mendes Teixeira
- VVumi Côco Mpasi
- RRui Miguel Pereira Alexandre
- JJonathan Restrepo Firmino
- IIgor Miguel Henriques Palma
Lajense
Not enough data to predict the Lajense lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aljustrelense have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Lajense have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Juventude Évora(away) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alcochetense(home) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Os Limianos(away) | 0-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Portel(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Ferreiras(away) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | 1º Dezembro(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Juventude Évora(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Amora(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fafe(away) | 0-4 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Real(away) | 5-5 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
How many goals should we expect?
Aljustrelense score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lajense score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aljustrelense | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Lajense | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Aljustrelense vs Lajense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aljustrelense vs Lajense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lajense the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Aljustrelense.
- Where and when is Aljustrelense vs Lajense played?
- Aljustrelense vs Lajense is played on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Aljustrel, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.