Alfreton Town vs Torquay: result 4-2 and analysis
National LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on October 11, 2014 at 04:30 PM (UTC)The Impact Arena, Alfreton, Derbyshire
Full time
What was the result of Alfreton Town vs Torquay?
Alfreton Town won 4-2 on October 11, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 18′K. HawleyAlfreton Town
- 30′Louis BriscoeTorquay
- 45′Tom William ShawAlfreton Town
- 53′Louis BriscoeTorquay
- 70′Paul ClaytonAlfreton Town
- 77′K. HawleyAlfreton Town
Official lineup for Alfreton Town vs Torquay
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Alfreton Town
- KK. Hawley
- PPaul Clayton
- TTom William Shaw
- DDavid Mellor
- AAnthony Howell
- LLuke Graham
- DD. Courtney
- LL. Rowe-Turner
- BBradley Wood
- DDan Gray
- CC. Dawson
Torquay
- RR. Bowman
- DD. Tonge
- JJosh Wakefield
- LL. Young
- CC. Cameron
- TT. Ajala
- LLouis Briscoe
- KK. Pearce
- TT. Cruise
- CCourtney Richards
- MMartin Rice
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alfreton Town have 3 wins, 1 draw and 11 defeats; Torquay have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2014 | Gateshead(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Aldershot Town(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Sep 30, 2014 | FC Halifax Town(home) | 0-2 | National League |
| Sep 27, 2014 | Dover(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 20, 2014 | Nuneaton Town(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2014 | Wrexham(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Sep 30, 2014 | Forest Green(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Sep 27, 2014 | AFC Telford United(away) | 3-4 | National League |
| Sep 20, 2014 | Dover(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Sep 16, 2014 | Woking(home) | 1-0 | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Alfreton Town score 0.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Torquay score 1.7 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfreton Town | 0.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Torquay | 1.7 | 1.0 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy