Alfreton Town vs Torquay: result 4-2 and analysis
National LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on October 11, 2014 at 04:30 PM (UTC)The Impact Arena, Alfreton, Derbyshire
Full time
What was the result of Alfreton Town vs Torquay?
Alfreton Town won 4-2 on October 11, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 18′K. HawleyAlfreton Town
- 30′Louis BriscoeTorquay
- 45′Tom William ShawAlfreton Town
- 53′Louis BriscoeTorquay
- 70′Paul ClaytonAlfreton Town
- 77′K. HawleyAlfreton Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alfreton Town have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Torquay have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2014 | Gateshead(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Aldershot Town(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Sep 30, 2014 | FC Halifax Town(home) | 0-2 | National League |
| Sep 27, 2014 | Dover(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 20, 2014 | Nuneaton Town(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2014 | Wrexham(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Sep 30, 2014 | Forest Green(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Sep 27, 2014 | AFC Telford United(away) | 3-4 | National League |
| Sep 20, 2014 | Dover(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Sep 16, 2014 | Woking(home) | 1-0 | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Alfreton Town score 0.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Torquay score 1.7 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfreton Town | 0.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Torquay | 1.7 | 1.0 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy