Match

Aliağa FAŞ vs Güzide Gebzespor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 32Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Aliağa Şehir Stadyumu, Aliağa

Aliağa FAŞGüzide Gebzespor

The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Güzide Gebzespor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Aliağa FAŞ vs Güzide Gebzespor?

Aliağa FAŞ starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,806 vs 1,684).

Aliağa FAŞ win51 %
Draw24 %
Güzide Gebzespor win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aliağa FAŞ have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Güzide Gebzespor have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Aliağa FAŞ
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 4, 2026Muş Sport Klübü(away)0-02. Lig
Apr 30, 2026Muş Sport Klübü(home)1-12. Lig
Apr 25, 2026Bursaspor(home)0-52. Lig
Apr 19, 202668 Aksaray Belediyespor(away)1-12. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Menemen FK(home)5-02. Lig
Güzide Gebzespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Ankara Demirspor(away)2-22. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Mardin 1969(home)1-22. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Fethiyespor(home)1-22. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Muş Sport Klübü(away)1-32. Lig
Mar 29, 2026 Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home)1-02. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Aliağa FAŞ win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Güzide Gebzespor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 18, 2026Aliağa FAŞ 1-0 Güzide Gebzespor2. Lig
Aug 30, 2025Güzide Gebzespor 1-0 Aliağa FAŞ2. Lig

Last archived meeting: Aliağa FAŞ vs Güzide Gebzespor on Jan 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Aliağa FAŞ score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Güzide Gebzespor score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Aliağa FAŞ2.11.758/1511/15
Güzide Gebzespor1.51.157/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Aliağa FAŞ sit 4th in 2. Lig (69 points from 34 matches) and Güzide Gebzespor sit 7th (58 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Aliağa FAŞ342167813269
7Güzide Gebzespor3416108563158

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Aliağa FAŞ vs Güzide Gebzespor?
The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Güzide Gebzespor.
Where and when is Aliağa FAŞ vs Güzide Gebzespor played?
Aliağa FAŞ vs Güzide Gebzespor is played on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Aliağa Şehir Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Aliağa FAŞ and Güzide Gebzespor

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