Aliağa FAŞ vs Güzide Gebzespor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 32Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Aliağa Şehir Stadyumu, Aliağa
The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Güzide Gebzespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aliağa FAŞ vs Güzide Gebzespor?
Aliağa FAŞ starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,806 vs 1,684).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aliağa FAŞ have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Güzide Gebzespor have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(home) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bursaspor(home) | 0-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Menemen FK(home) | 5-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ankara Demirspor(away) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Mardin 1969(home) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Fethiyespor(home) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 1-3 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Aliağa FAŞ win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Güzide Gebzespor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ 1-0 Güzide Gebzespor | 2. Lig |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Güzide Gebzespor 1-0 Aliağa FAŞ | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Aliağa FAŞ vs Güzide Gebzespor on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aliağa FAŞ score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Güzide Gebzespor score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliağa FAŞ | 2.1 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Güzide Gebzespor | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aliağa FAŞ sit 4th in 2. Lig (69 points from 34 matches) and Güzide Gebzespor sit 7th (58 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aliağa FAŞ | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 81 | 32 | 69 |
| 7 | Güzide Gebzespor | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 56 | 31 | 58 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aliağa FAŞ vs Güzide Gebzespor?
- The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Güzide Gebzespor.
- Where and when is Aliağa FAŞ vs Güzide Gebzespor played?
- Aliağa FAŞ vs Güzide Gebzespor is played on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Aliağa Şehir Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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