Match

Elazığspor vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 32Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Elazığ Doğukent Stadyumu, Elazığ

Elazığsporİnegöl Kafkas Gençlik

The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Elazığspor vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik?

Elazığspor starts as the favourite with a 213-point Elo edge (1,891 vs 1,678).

Elazığspor win61 %
Draw22 %
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elazığspor have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik have 10, 4 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Elazığspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Muğlaspor(away)0-02. Lig
May 4, 2026Adana 01 FK(home)2-12. Lig
Apr 30, 2026Adana 01 FK(away)4-22. Lig
Apr 25, 202624 Erzincanspor(home)2-02. Lig
Apr 19, 2026İskenderunspor(away)1-02. Lig
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Bursa Yıldırımspor(home)3-13. Lig - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026Kestel Çilek(away)2-13. Lig - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026Galata(away)1-03. Lig - Group 1
Mar 29, 2026Beykoz İshaklıspor(home)1-03. Lig - Group 1
Mar 25, 2026İnkılapspor(away)1-33. Lig - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Elazığspor score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Elazığspor2.30.787/159/15
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik1.60.9510/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Elazığspor362169823769

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Elazığspor vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik?
The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik.
Where and when is Elazığspor vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik played?
Elazığspor vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik is played on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Elazığ Doğukent Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Elazığspor and İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik

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