Aliağa FAŞ vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 26Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Aliağa Şehir Stadyumu, Aliağa
The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aliağa FAŞ vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik?
Aliağa FAŞ starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,806 vs 1,678).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aliağa FAŞ have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(home) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bursaspor(home) | 0-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Menemen FK(home) | 5-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bursa Yıldırımspor(home) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Kestel Çilek(away) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Galata(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Beykoz İshaklıspor(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | İnkılapspor(away) | 1-3 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Aliağa FAŞ win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2025 | Aliağa FAŞ 2-1 İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik | Türkiye Kupası |
| Feb 4, 2024 | İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik 1-1 Aliağa FAŞ | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Aliağa FAŞ 2-0 İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Aliağa FAŞ vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik on Sep 3, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Aliağa FAŞ score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliağa FAŞ | 2.1 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aliağa FAŞ | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 81 | 32 | 69 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aliağa FAŞ vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik?
- The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik.
- Where and when is Aliağa FAŞ vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik played?
- Aliağa FAŞ vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik is played on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Aliağa Şehir Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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