Match

Elazığspor vs Kastamonuspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 26Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Elazığ Doğukent Stadyumu, Elazığ

ElazığsporKastamonuspor

The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Kastamonuspor. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Elazığspor vs Kastamonuspor?

Elazığspor starts as the favourite with a 228-point Elo edge (1,891 vs 1,663).

Elazığspor win70 %
Draw18 %
Kastamonuspor win12 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elazığspor have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Kastamonuspor have 1, 6 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Elazığspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Muğlaspor(away)0-02. Lig
May 4, 2026Adana 01 FK(home)2-12. Lig
Apr 30, 2026Adana 01 FK(away)4-22. Lig
Apr 25, 202624 Erzincanspor(home)2-02. Lig
Apr 19, 2026İskenderunspor(away)1-02. Lig
Kastamonuspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Muğlaspor(home)0-32. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Şanlıurfaspor(away)2-52. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Karaman FK(home)2-22. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Karacabey Belediyespor(away)0-42. Lig
Mar 29, 2026Batman Petrolspor(home)1-22. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Elazığspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Kastamonuspor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2026Kastamonuspor 0-0 Elazığspor2. Lig
Oct 26, 2025Elazığspor 1-2 Kastamonuspor2. Lig
Feb 24, 2021Kastamonuspor 2-0 Elazığspor2. Lig
Oct 20, 2020Elazığspor 3-2 Kastamonuspor2. Lig
Apr 25, 2020Kastamonuspor 3-0 Elazığspor2. Lig
Dec 15, 2019Elazığspor 0-2 Kastamonuspor2. Lig

Last archived meeting: Kastamonuspor vs Elazığspor on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Elazığspor score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kastamonuspor score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Elazığspor2.30.787/159/15
Kastamonuspor0.71.827/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Elazığspor sit 3rd in 2. Lig (69 points from 36 matches) and Kastamonuspor sit 12th (42 points from 36 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Elazığspor362169823769
12Kastamonuspor3611916445642

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Elazığspor vs Kastamonuspor?
The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Kastamonuspor.
Where and when is Elazığspor vs Kastamonuspor played?
Elazığspor vs Kastamonuspor is played on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Elazığ Doğukent Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Elazığspor and Kastamonuspor

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