Elazığspor vs Kastamonuspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 26Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Elazığ Doğukent Stadyumu, Elazığ
The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Kastamonuspor. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elazığspor vs Kastamonuspor?
Elazığspor starts as the favourite with a 228-point Elo edge (1,891 vs 1,663).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elazığspor have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Kastamonuspor have 1, 6 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| May 4, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(home) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(away) | 4-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | 24 Erzincanspor(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | İskenderunspor(away) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Muğlaspor(home) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Şanlıurfaspor(away) | 2-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Karaman FK(home) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Karacabey Belediyespor(away) | 0-4 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(home) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Elazığspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Kastamonuspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Kastamonuspor 0-0 Elazığspor | 2. Lig |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Elazığspor 1-2 Kastamonuspor | 2. Lig |
| Feb 24, 2021 | Kastamonuspor 2-0 Elazığspor | 2. Lig |
| Oct 20, 2020 | Elazığspor 3-2 Kastamonuspor | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2020 | Kastamonuspor 3-0 Elazığspor | 2. Lig |
| Dec 15, 2019 | Elazığspor 0-2 Kastamonuspor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Kastamonuspor vs Elazığspor on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Elazığspor score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kastamonuspor score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elazığspor | 2.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Kastamonuspor | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elazığspor sit 3rd in 2. Lig (69 points from 36 matches) and Kastamonuspor sit 12th (42 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Elazığspor | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 82 | 37 | 69 |
| 12 | Kastamonuspor | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 44 | 56 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elazığspor vs Kastamonuspor?
- The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Kastamonuspor.
- Where and when is Elazığspor vs Kastamonuspor played?
- Elazığspor vs Kastamonuspor is played on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Elazığ Doğukent Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 7, 2027Adana DemirsporvsMuş Sport Klübü
- Mar 7, 2027HataysporvsMenemen FK
- Mar 7, 2027Güzide Gebzesporvs68 Aksaray Belediyespor
- Mar 7, 2027Isparta 32 SporvsŞanlıurfaspor
- Mar 7, 2027Arnavutköy BelediyesporvsErbaaspor
- Mar 7, 2027Aliağa FAŞvsİnegöl Kafkas Gençlik
- Mar 7, 2027Sebat GençliksporvsAnkaraspor
- Mar 7, 2027Çorluspor 1947vsSomaspor