Aliağa FAŞ vs Muş Sport Klübü: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Aliağa Şehir Stadyumu, Aliağa
The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Muş Sport Klübü. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aliağa FAŞ vs Muş Sport Klübü?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Aliağa FAŞ (1,796) and Muş Sport Klübü (1,822).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aliağa FAŞ have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Muş Sport Klübü have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(home) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bursaspor(home) | 0-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Menemen FK(home) | 5-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Mardin 1969(away) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| May 4, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ(home) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Adanaspor(home) | 6-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Fethiyespor(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Aliağa FAŞ win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Muş Sport Klübü win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü 0-0 Aliağa FAŞ | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ 1-1 Muş Sport Klübü | 2. Lig |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ 4-0 Muş Sport Klübü | 2. Lig |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Muş Sport Klübü 2-2 Aliağa FAŞ | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Muş Sport Klübü vs Aliağa FAŞ on May 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aliağa FAŞ score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Muş Sport Klübü score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliağa FAŞ | 2.1 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Muş Sport Klübü | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aliağa FAŞ sit 4th in 2. Lig (69 points from 34 matches) and Muş Sport Klübü sit 3rd (70 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Muş Sport Klübü | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 82 | 35 | 70 |
| 4 | Aliağa FAŞ | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 81 | 32 | 69 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aliağa FAŞ vs Muş Sport Klübü?
- The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Muş Sport Klübü.
- Where and when is Aliağa FAŞ vs Muş Sport Klübü played?
- Aliağa FAŞ vs Muş Sport Klübü is played on November 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Aliağa Şehir Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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