Where and when is Aliağa FAŞ vs Kastamonuspor played?

Aliağa FAŞ vs Kastamonuspor is played on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Aliağa Şehir Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Aliağa FAŞ vs Kastamonuspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Aliağa Şehir Stadyumu, Aliağa

Aliağa FAŞ

Kastamonuspor

The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Kastamonuspor. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Aliağa FAŞ vs Kastamonuspor?

Aliağa FAŞ starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,796 vs 1,653).

Aliağa FAŞ win65 %

Draw19 %

Kastamonuspor win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aliağa FAŞ have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Kastamonuspor have 1, 6 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Aliağa FAŞ
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 4, 2026	Muş Sport Klübü(away)	0-0	2. Lig
Apr 30, 2026	Muş Sport Klübü(home)	1-1	2. Lig
Apr 25, 2026	Bursaspor(home)	0-5	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	68 Aksaray Belediyespor(away)	1-1	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Menemen FK(home)	5-0	2. Lig

Kastamonuspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Muğlaspor(home)	0-3	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Şanlıurfaspor(away)	2-5	2. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	Karaman FK(home)	2-2	2. Lig
Apr 4, 2026	Karacabey Belediyespor(away)	0-4	2. Lig
Mar 29, 2026	Batman Petrolspor(home)	1-2	2. Lig

How many goals should we expect?

Aliağa FAŞ score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kastamonuspor score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Aliağa FAŞ	2.1	1.7	5	8/15	11/15
Kastamonuspor	0.7	1.8	2	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Aliağa FAŞ sit 4th in 2. Lig (69 points from 34 matches) and Kastamonuspor sit 12th (42 points from 36 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Aliağa FAŞ	34	21	6	7	81	32	69
12	Kastamonuspor	36	11	9	16	44	56	42

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Aliağa FAŞ vs Kastamonuspor?: The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Kastamonuspor.
Where and when is Aliağa FAŞ vs Kastamonuspor played?: Aliağa FAŞ vs Kastamonuspor is played on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Aliağa Şehir Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.