Aljustrelense vs Real: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group DGroup D - 12Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Aljustrel, Aljustrel
The Footlab AI model makes Real the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Aljustrelense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aljustrelense vs Real?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Aljustrelense (1,709) and Real (1,768).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aljustrelense vs Real
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aljustrelense
4-3-3- PPedro Alexandre Fialho Guerreiro
- PPaulo Costa
- EE. Udokporo
- BBabacar Thiam Fall
- SSene Dabo
- IInsa Sagna
- BBlessed Andrade Mendes Teixeira
- VVumi Côco Mpasi
- RRui Miguel Pereira Alexandre
- JJonathan Restrepo Firmino
- IIgor Miguel Henriques Palma
Real
4-3-3- RRonaldo Mendes
- DDiogo Nascimento
- JJoão Araújo
- GGabriel Saalfeld
- CC. Acosta
- TTomás Marçalo
- EElson Patrício Tavares Mendes
- AA. Ibrahim
- IIvo Cláudio
- RRogério Fernandes
- HHugo Mosca
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aljustrelense have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Real have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Juventude Évora(away) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alcochetense(home) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Os Limianos(away) | 0-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Portel(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Ferreiras(away) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vitoria Setubal(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Panambi(home) | 3-3 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | EC Novo Horizonte(away) | 9-0 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Santa Clara B(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Farroupilha(home) | 4-0 | Gaúcho - 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Aljustrelense wins, 0 draws, 2 Real wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2020 | Aljustrelense 1-6 Real | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Real 4-0 Aljustrelense | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
How many goals should we expect?
Aljustrelense score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Real score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aljustrelense | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Real | 2.3 | 1.3 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Aljustrelense vs Real?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aljustrelense vs Real?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Aljustrelense.
- Where and when is Aljustrelense vs Real played?
- Aljustrelense vs Real is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Aljustrel, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.