Alloa Athletic vs Montrose: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 24Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Indodrill Stadium, Alloa
The Footlab AI model makes Montrose the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Alloa Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1. If Montrose wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,532 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alloa Athletic vs Montrose?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Alloa Athletic (1,562) and Montrose (1,577).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alloa Athletic vs Montrose
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alloa Athletic
4-3-3- 24O. Foster
- 7K. Glasgow
- 28M. Aitken
- 6G. Marchant
- 4S. Hetherington
- 12S. Scougall
- 2S. Taggart
- 20C. O'Donnell
- 5Joseph McGrath
- 3C. Waters
- 1R. Stewart
Montrose
4-4-1-1- 16J. Sutherland
- 19G. Oliver
- 8J. Barjonas
- 11B. Lyons
- 12K. Freeman
- 22H. Craig
- 4A. Quinn
- 5S. McGinty
- 3F. Duffy
- 15C. Oosenbrugh
- 1C. Gill
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 01:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alloa Athletic have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Montrose have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Annan Athletic(away) | 0-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(home) | 0-3 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ross County(away) | 1-4 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gala Fairydean Rovers(home) | 2-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Hibernian U21(home) | 4-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Dundee United II(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ross County(home) | 0-5 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Airdrie United(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(away) | 1-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Formartine United(away) | 2-3 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Alloa Athletic wins, 0 draws, 2 Montrose wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alloa Athletic 3-0 Montrose | League One |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Montrose 5-4 Alloa Athletic | League One |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Alloa Athletic 4-1 Montrose | League One |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Montrose 0-4 Alloa Athletic | League One |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Alloa Athletic 0-1 Montrose | League One |
| Jul 15, 2025 | Alloa Athletic 2-1 Montrose | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Alloa Athletic vs Montrose on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alloa Athletic score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Montrose score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alloa Athletic | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Montrose | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alloa Athletic sit 8th in League One (9 points from 10 matches) and Montrose sit 4th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Montrose | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 15 |
| 8 | Alloa Athletic | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 9 |
A question about Alloa Athletic vs Montrose?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alloa Athletic vs Montrose?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montrose the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Alloa Athletic.
- Where and when is Alloa Athletic vs Montrose played?
- Alloa Athletic vs Montrose is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Indodrill Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.