Montrose vs Alloa Athletic: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Links Park, Montrose
The Footlab AI model makes Montrose the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Alloa Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1. If Montrose wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montrose vs Alloa Athletic?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Montrose (1,593) and Alloa Athletic (1,581).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montrose vs Alloa Athletic
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montrose
4-4-1-1- 16J. Sutherland
- 19G. Oliver
- 8J. Barjonas
- 11B. Lyons
- 12K. Freeman
- 22H. Craig
- 4A. Quinn
- 5S. McGinty
- 3F. Duffy
- 15C. Oosenbrugh
- 1C. Gill
Alloa Athletic
4-3-3- 24O. Foster
- 7K. Glasgow
- 28M. Aitken
- 6G. Marchant
- 4S. Hetherington
- 12S. Scougall
- 2S. Taggart
- 20C. O'Donnell
- 5Joseph McGrath
- 3C. Waters
- 1R. Stewart
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montrose have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Alloa Athletic have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Dundee United II(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ross County(home) | 0-5 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Airdrie United(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(away) | 1-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Formartine United(away) | 2-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Annan Athletic(away) | 0-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(home) | 0-3 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ross County(away) | 1-4 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gala Fairydean Rovers(home) | 2-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Hibernian U21(home) | 4-1 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Montrose wins, 0 draws, 4 Alloa Athletic wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alloa Athletic 3-0 Montrose | League One |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Montrose 5-4 Alloa Athletic | League One |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Alloa Athletic 4-1 Montrose | League One |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Montrose 0-4 Alloa Athletic | League One |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Alloa Athletic 0-1 Montrose | League One |
| Jul 15, 2025 | Alloa Athletic 2-1 Montrose | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Alloa Athletic vs Montrose on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Montrose score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Alloa Athletic score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montrose | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
| Alloa Athletic | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montrose sit 4th in League One (15 points from 10 matches) and Alloa Athletic sit 8th (9 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Montrose | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 15 |
| 8 | Alloa Athletic | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 9 |
A question about Montrose vs Alloa Athletic?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montrose vs Alloa Athletic?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montrose the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Alloa Athletic.
- Where and when is Montrose vs Alloa Athletic played?
- Montrose vs Alloa Athletic is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Links Park, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.