Almudévar vs Caspe: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17Group 17 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Virgen de la Corona, Almudévar
The Footlab AI model makes Caspe the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Almudévar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Caspe wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Almudévar vs Caspe?
Caspe starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,798 vs 1,695).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Almudévar vs Caspe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Almudévar
Not enough data to predict the Almudévar lineup.
Caspe
Not enough data to predict the Caspe lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almudévar have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Caspe have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Huesca II(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Illueca(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Atlético Monzón(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Belchite 97(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Fraga(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cuarte(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Épila(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Binéfar(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Zaragoza II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Huesca II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Almudévar wins, 1 draw, 2 Caspe wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Caspe 2-0 Almudévar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Almudévar 1-0 Caspe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 4, 2025 | Caspe 0-0 Almudévar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Jan 5, 2025 | Almudévar 2-1 Caspe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Caspe 3-1 Almudévar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Almudévar 3-0 Caspe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
How many goals should we expect?
Almudévar score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Caspe score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almudévar | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Caspe | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Almudévar sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 (7 points from 6 matches) and Caspe sit 7th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Caspe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 9 |
| 9 | Almudévar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
A question about Almudévar vs Caspe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Almudévar vs Caspe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caspe the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Almudévar.
- Where and when is Almudévar vs Caspe played?
- Almudévar vs Caspe is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Virgen de la Corona, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.