Alpendorada vs Sousense: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BGroup B - 8Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Alpendorada, Alpendurada e Matos
The Footlab AI model makes Alpendorada the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Sousense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alpendorada wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alpendorada vs Sousense?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Alpendorada (1,919) and Sousense (1,825).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alpendorada vs Sousense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alpendorada
4-3-3- 11Jucélio
- 45Pauleta
- 93Nilo Souza
- 47M. Borges
- 8B. Tavares
- 10Jony
- 16Simão Melhôr
- 2H. Meireles
- 3G. Zuzarte
- 23Pepe
- 99Ricardo Jorge Oliveira Morais
Sousense
Not enough data to predict the Sousense lineup.
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 09:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alpendorada have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Sousense have 2, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mação(home) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Machico(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sanjoanense(away) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Rebordosa(away) | 2-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Camacha(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | União Lamas(home) | 3-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ovarense(away) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Salgueiros(away) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Castro Daire(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cinfães(away) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
How many goals should we expect?
Alpendorada score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sousense score 0.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alpendorada | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Sousense | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 4/10 | 5/10 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alpendorada sit 11th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B (3 points from 4 matches) and Sousense sit 14th (1 point from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Alpendorada | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 14 | Sousense | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
A question about Alpendorada vs Sousense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alpendorada vs Sousense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alpendorada the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Sousense.
- Where and when is Alpendorada vs Sousense played?
- Alpendorada vs Sousense is played on November 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Alpendorada, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.