Match

Altay vs Balıkesirspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 25Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, İzmir

AltayBalıkesirspor

The Footlab model makes Balıkesirspor the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Altay. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Altay vs Balıkesirspor?

Balıkesirspor starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (1,664 vs 1,485).

Altay win23 %
Draw29 %
Balıkesirspor win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Altay have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Balıkesirspor have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Altay
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Afjet Afyonspor(home)2-03. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026İzmir Çoruhlu FK(home)1-13. Lig - Group 4
Mar 29, 2026Anadolu Üniversitesi(away)0-33. Lig - Group 4
Mar 25, 2026Alanya 1221 FK(home)0-03. Lig - Group 4
Mar 15, 2026Balıkesirspor(away)0-33. Lig - Group 4
Balıkesirspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 28, 2026Eskişehirspor(away)0-33. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026Eskişehirspor(home)2-13. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026Bornova 1877(away)4-13. Lig - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026Eskişehirspor(home)1-13. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026Denizli İYG(away)1-03. Lig - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Altay win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Balıkesirspor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 15, 2026Balıkesirspor 3-0 Altay3. Lig - Group 4
Nov 9, 2025Altay 0-1 Balıkesirspor3. Lig - Group 4
Mar 14, 2021Balıkesirspor 0-3 Altay1. Lig
Nov 6, 2020Altay 1-3 Balıkesirspor1. Lig
Feb 2, 2020Balıkesirspor 0-0 Altay1. Lig
Aug 31, 2019Altay 1-0 Balıkesirspor1. Lig

Last archived meeting: Balıkesirspor vs Altay on Mar 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Altay score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Balıkesirspor score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Altay0.81.746/158/15
Balıkesirspor1.90.967/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Altay vs Balıkesirspor?
The Footlab model makes Balıkesirspor the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Altay.
Where and when is Altay vs Balıkesirspor played?
Altay vs Balıkesirspor is played on February 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Altay and Balıkesirspor

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