Altona Magic vs South Melbourne: result 1-4 and analysis
Victoria NPLRegular Season - 5Kick-off on March 27, 2021 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Paisley Park Soccer Complex, Melbourne
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What was the result of Altona Magic vs South Melbourne?
South Melbourne won 1-4 on March 27, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 29′L. ElmaziAltona Magic (o.g.)
- 36′M. JankovicSouth Melbourne
- 44′67610South Melbourne (pen.)
- 57′M. JankovicSouth Melbourne
- 81′D. ClarkSouth Melbourne
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Altona Magic have 0 wins, 5 draws and 10 defeats; South Melbourne have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2021 | Oakleigh Cannons(home) | 0-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Mar 13, 2021 | Heidelberg United(home) | 2-2 | Victoria NPL |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Avondale(home) | 2-2 | Victoria NPL |
| Feb 27, 2021 | Hume City(away) | 0-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Mar 14, 2020 | South Melbourne(home) | 1-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2021 | Port Melbourne(away) | 0-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Mar 12, 2021 | Oakleigh Cannons(away) | 1-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Mar 5, 2021 | Eastern Lions(home) | 1-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Feb 28, 2021 | Heidelberg United(away) | 1-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Mar 14, 2020 | Altona Magic(away) | 1-1 | Victoria NPL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Altona Magic win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 South Melbourne win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2020 | Altona Magic 1-1 South Melbourne | Victoria NPL |
| Aug 18, 2019 | South Melbourne 2-0 Altona Magic | Victoria NPL |
| May 11, 2019 | Altona Magic 1-2 South Melbourne | Victoria NPL |
Last archived meeting: Altona Magic vs South Melbourne on Mar 14, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Altona Magic score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; South Melbourne score 1.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Altona Magic | 0.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| South Melbourne | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Altona Magic sit 11th in Victoria NPL (27 points from 25 matches) and South Melbourne sit 5th (41 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | South Melbourne | 25 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 35 | 41 |
| 11 | Altona Magic | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 41 | 27 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy