South Melbourne vs Sutherland Sharks: prediction and stats
Australian ChampionshipGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Lakeside Stadium, Melbourne
The Footlab AI model makes South Melbourne the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Sutherland Sharks. The most likely score is 1-1. If South Melbourne wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win South Melbourne vs Sutherland Sharks?
South Melbourne starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,897 vs 1,748).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for South Melbourne vs Sutherland Sharks
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
South Melbourne
4-3-3- 7D. Yoo
- 16A. Cocks
- 11Yuki Uchida
- 21S. Pasquali
- 27J. Painter-Andrews
- 8P. Retre
- 4Marco Jankovic
- 17T. Giannakopoulos
- 23J. Eliopoulos
- 3Jordan Lampard
- 1Javier López
Sutherland Sharks
Not enough data to predict the Sutherland Sharks lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, South Melbourne have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Sutherland Sharks have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(home) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Lions(home) | 3-1 | Australia Cup |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oakleigh Cannons(away) | 1-2 | Victoria NPL |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Heidelberg United(home) | 2-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Sunshine Georgies(away) | 0-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 | Manly United(home) | 1-1 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 30, 2026 | SD Raiders(home) | 1-2 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 22, 2026 | St George City FA(home) | 2-1 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Marconi Stallions(away) | 0-1 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sydney FC U23(home) | 1-1 | New South Wales NPL |
How many goals should we expect?
South Melbourne score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sutherland Sharks score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Melbourne | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Sutherland Sharks | 1.7 | 1.1 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Melbourne | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 16 |
A question about South Melbourne vs Sutherland Sharks?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for South Melbourne vs Sutherland Sharks?
- The Footlab AI model makes South Melbourne the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Sutherland Sharks.
- Where and when is South Melbourne vs Sutherland Sharks played?
- South Melbourne vs Sutherland Sharks is played on November 7, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Lakeside Stadium, in the Australian Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.