Şagadam vs Ahal: result 2-1 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Türkmenbaşy Stadium, Türkmenbaşy
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What was the result of Şagadam vs Ahal?
Şagadam won 2-1 on September 5, 2026.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Şagadam have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Ahal have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 3-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aşgabat(away) | 0-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Nebitci(home) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Merw(away) | 0-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 0-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Merw(home) | 4-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Arkadag(away) | 1-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Aşgabat(home) | 4-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Nebitci(away) | 4-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Şagadam(home) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Şagadam wins, 2 draws, 4 Ahal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Ahal 1-0 Şagadam | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Şagadam 1-3 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 1, 2025 | Ahal 1-0 Şagadam | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Şagadam 0-0 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| May 30, 2025 | Ahal 1-1 Şagadam | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 3, 2025 | Şagadam 1-2 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Şagadam score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ahal score 1.9 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Şagadam | 0.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Ahal | 1.9 | 0.8 | 9 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Şagadam sit 4th in Ýokary Liga (22 points from 21 matches) and Ahal sit 3rd (42 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ahal | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 50 | 28 | 42 |
| 4 | Şagadam | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | 22 |
A question about Şagadam vs Ahal?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy