Alvechurch vs Banbury United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 32Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Lye Meadow, Alvechurch, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Banbury United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alvechurch vs Banbury United?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Alvechurch (1,805) and Banbury United (1,776).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alvechurch have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Banbury United have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Needham Market(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kettering Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Real Bedford(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Alvechurch win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Banbury United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Banbury United 2-1 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Alvechurch 0-2 Banbury United | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Banbury United 0-0 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Alvechurch 0-1 Banbury United | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Banbury United vs Alvechurch on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alvechurch score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Banbury United score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvechurch | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Banbury United | 0.8 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alvechurch sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Southern Central (6 points from 3 matches) and Banbury United sit 11th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Alvechurch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Banbury United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alvechurch vs Banbury United?
- The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Banbury United.
- Where and when is Alvechurch vs Banbury United played?
- Alvechurch vs Banbury United is played on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Lye Meadow, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Feb 13, 2027Halesowen TownvsStratford Town
- Feb 13, 2027Bishop's StortfordvsRushall Olympic
- Feb 13, 2027Bromsgrove SportingvsPeterborough Sports
- Feb 13, 2027Needham MarketvsKettering Town
- Feb 13, 2027Redditch UnitedvsStourbridge
- Feb 13, 2027LeamingtonvsStamford
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