Banbury United vs Alvechurch: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Banbury Plant Hire Community Stadium, Banbury, Oxfordshire
The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Banbury United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Banbury United vs Alvechurch?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Banbury United (1,776) and Alvechurch (1,805).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Banbury United have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Alvechurch have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Real Bedford(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Needham Market(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kettering Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Banbury United win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Alvechurch win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Banbury United 2-1 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Alvechurch 0-2 Banbury United | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Banbury United 0-0 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Alvechurch 0-1 Banbury United | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Banbury United vs Alvechurch on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Banbury United score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Alvechurch score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banbury United | 0.8 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Alvechurch | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Banbury United sit 11th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (4 points from 3 matches) and Alvechurch sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Alvechurch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Banbury United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Banbury United vs Alvechurch?
- The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Banbury United.
- Where and when is Banbury United vs Alvechurch played?
- Banbury United vs Alvechurch is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Banbury Plant Hire Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Hitchin TownvsAnstey Nomads
- Nov 21, 2026StamfordvsLeamington
- Nov 21, 2026StourbridgevsRedditch United
- Nov 21, 2026LeistonvsLeighton Town
- Nov 21, 2026Peterborough SportsvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Nov 21, 2026Rushall OlympicvsBishop's Stortford
- Nov 21, 2026Stratford TownvsHalesowen Town
- Nov 21, 2026Kettering TownvsNeedham Market