Where and when is Alvechurch vs Leiston played?

Alvechurch vs Leiston is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Lye Meadow, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Alvechurch vs Leiston: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 34Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Lye Meadow, Alvechurch, Worcestershire

Alvechurch

Leiston

The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Leiston. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alvechurch vs Leiston?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Alvechurch (1,773) and Leiston (1,790).

Alvechurch win40 %

Draw26 %

Leiston win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alvechurch have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Leiston have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alvechurch
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bishop's Stortford(away)	3-0	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026	Needham Market(home)	2-0	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026	Worcester City(home)	3-1	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026	Kettering Town(away)	0-1	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Jul 28, 2026	Kidderminster Harriers(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs

Leiston
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Stourbridge(away)	2-2	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026	Rushall Olympic(home)	1-2	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026	Bishop's Stortford(home)	3-1	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026	Anstey Nomads(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Jul 28, 2026	Gorleston(away)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Alvechurch win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Leiston win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Alvechurch 1-1 Leiston	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Jan 20, 2026	Leiston 3-3 Alvechurch	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Mar 22, 2025	Alvechurch 1-1 Leiston	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Nov 12, 2024	Leiston 2-1 Alvechurch	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Feb 24, 2024	Leiston 2-2 Alvechurch	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Nov 28, 2023	Alvechurch 0-2 Leiston	Non League Premier - Southern Central

Last archived meeting: Alvechurch vs Leiston on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Alvechurch score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Alvechurch	1.4	0.9	4	9/15	6/15
Leiston	1.4	1.4	3	11/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Alvechurch sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Southern Central (6 points from 3 matches) and Leiston sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Alvechurch	3	2	0	1	5	2	6
8	Leiston	3	1	1	1	5	4	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alvechurch vs Leiston?: The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Leiston.
Where and when is Alvechurch vs Leiston played?: Alvechurch vs Leiston is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Lye Meadow, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.