Alvechurch vs Leiston: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 34Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Lye Meadow, Alvechurch, Worcestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Leiston. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alvechurch wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,528 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alvechurch vs Leiston?
On Elo ratings, Alvechurch has 1,815 points and Leiston 1,732.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alvechurch vs Leiston
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alvechurch
Not enough data to predict the Alvechurch lineup.
Leiston
Not enough data to predict the Leiston lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 12:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alvechurch have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Leiston have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Leiston(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Stratford Town(away) | 4-4 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Spalding United(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Alvechurch(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(away) | 5-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Kettering Town(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Alvechurch win, 4 draws, 1 Leiston win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Leiston 1-3 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Alvechurch 1-1 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Leiston 3-3 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Alvechurch 1-1 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 12, 2024 | Leiston 2-1 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Leiston 2-2 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Leiston vs Alvechurch on Oct 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alvechurch score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Leiston score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvechurch | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Leiston | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alvechurch sit 6th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (26 points from 14 matches) and Leiston sit 15th (15 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Alvechurch | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 13 | 26 |
| 15 | Leiston | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 26 | 15 |
A question about Alvechurch vs Leiston?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alvechurch vs Leiston?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Leiston.
- Where and when is Alvechurch vs Leiston played?
- Alvechurch vs Leiston is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Lye Meadow, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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