Leiston vs Alvechurch: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 16Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Victory Road, Leiston, Suffolk
The Footlab AI model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Leiston. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alvechurch wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,810 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leiston vs Alvechurch?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Leiston (1,856) and Alvechurch (1,908).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leiston vs Alvechurch
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leiston
Not enough data to predict the Leiston lineup.
Alvechurch
Not enough data to predict the Alvechurch lineup.
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 10:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leiston have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Alvechurch have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(away) | 5-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Kettering Town(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Coventry United(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Stratford Town(away) | 4-4 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Spalding United(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Halesowen Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Leiston wins, 4 draws, 0 Alvechurch wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Alvechurch 1-1 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Leiston 3-3 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Alvechurch 1-1 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 12, 2024 | Leiston 2-1 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Leiston 2-2 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 28, 2023 | Alvechurch 0-2 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Alvechurch vs Leiston on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leiston score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Alvechurch score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leiston | 1.8 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Alvechurch | 2.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leiston sit 14th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (15 points from 12 matches) and Alvechurch sit 7th (23 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Alvechurch | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 23 |
| 14 | Leiston | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 15 |
A question about Leiston vs Alvechurch?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leiston vs Alvechurch?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Leiston.
- Where and when is Leiston vs Alvechurch played?
- Leiston vs Alvechurch is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Road, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026StamfordvsHalesowen Town
- Oct 31, 2026StourbridgevsKettering Town
- Oct 31, 2026Bury TownvsBanbury United
- Oct 31, 2026Redditch UnitedvsNeedham Market
- Oct 31, 2026Rushall OlympicvsRacing Club Warwick
- Oct 31, 2026Stratford TownvsHitchin Town
- Oct 31, 2026LeamingtonvsPeterborough Sports
- Oct 31, 2026Anstey NomadsvsBishop's Stortford