America-RN vs Ipatinga: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 12Kick-off on July 21, 2012 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estádio José Nazareno do Nascimento, Goianinha, Rio Grande do Norte
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What was the result of America-RN vs Ipatinga?
America-RN won 2-1 on July 21, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 4′IsacAmerica-RN
- 36′Márcio DiogoIpatinga
- 40′Lúcio Teófilo da SilvaAmerica-RN
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, America-RN have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Ipatinga have 1, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2012 | Parana(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 14, 2012 | Ceara(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 7, 2012 | CRB(away) | 2-4 | Serie B |
| Jun 30, 2012 | Guarani Campinas(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Jun 20, 2012 | ASA(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2012 | Joinville(away) | 0-6 | Serie B |
| Jul 14, 2012 | Grêmio Barueri(home) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Jul 11, 2012 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 4, 2012 | Guarani Campinas(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 27, 2012 | Ceara(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
America-RN score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 11; Ipatinga score 0.6 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| America-RN | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/11 | 5/11 |
| Ipatinga | 0.6 | 2.3 | 1 | 5/11 | 7/11 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy