São Caetano vs Grêmio Barueri: result 3-0 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 12Kick-off on July 21, 2012 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Anacleto Campanella, São Caetano do Sul, São Paulo
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What was the result of São Caetano vs Grêmio Barueri?
São Caetano won 3-0 on July 21, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 20′Gabriel Valongo da SilvaSão Caetano
- 25′Marcelo Pereira da CostaSão Caetano
- 30′DanielzinhoSão Caetano
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, São Caetano have 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Grêmio Barueri have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2012 | Ceara(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 14, 2012 | Joinville(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 4, 2012 | Guaratinguetá(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Jun 30, 2012 | Parana(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 20, 2012 | CRB(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2012 | RB Bragantino(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 14, 2012 | Ipatinga(away) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 7, 2012 | Joinville(away) | 0-4 | Serie B |
| Jun 27, 2012 | America Mineiro(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 24, 2012 | BOA(away) | 1-4 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
São Caetano score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 11; Grêmio Barueri score 1.0 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Caetano | 1.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 5/11 | 3/11 |
| Grêmio Barueri | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy