Amical Saint-Prex vs Lugano II: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade de Marcy, Saint-Prex
The Footlab model makes Amical Saint-Prex the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Lugano II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Amical Saint-Prex vs Lugano II?
Amical Saint-Prex starts as the favourite with a 217-point Elo edge (1,793 vs 1,576).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Amical Saint-Prex have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Lugano II have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | YF Juventus(home) | 3-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Zürich II(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stade Nyonnais(home) | 1-3 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bellinzona(home) | 1-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Grand-Saconnex(away) | 0-6 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Biel-Bienne(away) | 2-5 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Luzern II(home) | 4-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Young Boys II(away) | 1-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Bulle(home) | 1-4 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 30, 2026 | Kreuzlingen(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
How many goals should we expect?
Amical Saint-Prex score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lugano II score 1.3 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amical Saint-Prex | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Lugano II | 1.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Amical Saint-Prex sit 9th in 1. Liga Promotion (6 points from 4 matches) and Lugano II sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Amical Saint-Prex | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
| 14 | Lugano II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Amical Saint-Prex vs Lugano II?
- The Footlab model makes Amical Saint-Prex the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Lugano II.
- Where and when is Amical Saint-Prex vs Lugano II played?
- Amical Saint-Prex vs Lugano II is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de Marcy, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.