Basel II vs Brühl: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on September 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Leichtathletik-Stadion St. Jakob, Basel
The Footlab model makes Brühl the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Basel II. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Basel II vs Brühl?
Brühl starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,796 vs 1,693).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basel II have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Brühl have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zürich II(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bellinzona(away) | 3-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grand-Saconnex(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kreuzlingen(away) | 1-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 30, 2026 | Brühl(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bavois(away) | 0-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Biel-Bienne(home) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wiesendangen(away) | 6-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Luzern II(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Young Boys II(home) | 4-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Basel II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Brühl win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Brühl 1-0 Basel II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Basel II 2-2 Brühl | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 10, 2025 | Brühl 1-3 Basel II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Basel II 5-0 Brühl | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 4, 2024 | Basel II 3-2 Brühl | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Brühl 1-0 Basel II | 1. Liga Promotion |
How many goals should we expect?
Basel II score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Brühl score 2.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basel II | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Brühl | 2.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Basel II sit 16th in 1. Liga Promotion (3 points from 4 matches) and Brühl sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Brühl | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 16 | Basel II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Basel II vs Brühl?
- The Footlab model makes Brühl the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Basel II.
- Where and when is Basel II vs Brühl played?
- Basel II vs Brühl is played on September 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Leichtathletik-Stadion St. Jakob, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.