Amkar vs Tyumen: prediction and stats
Second League A - Division A SilverDivision A Silver - 9Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Zvezda, Perm'
The Footlab model makes Amkar the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Tyumen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Amkar vs Tyumen?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Amkar (1,827) and Tyumen (1,728).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Amkar have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Tyumen have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Torpedo Miass(away) | 0-5 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo Stavropol(home) | 5-1 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dinamo Moskva II(away) | 3-0 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tyumen(away) | 2-0 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zenit 2(away) | 1-1 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Torpedo Miass(home) | 4-3 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Volna Nizhegorodskaya(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dinamo Stavropol(away) | 0-1 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Amkar(home) | 0-2 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Amkar win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Tyumen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tyumen 0-2 Amkar | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| May 24, 2026 | Tyumen 0-0 Amkar | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Amkar 2-0 Tyumen | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Tyumen 3-0 Amkar | Cup |
| May 21, 2023 | Amkar 0-2 Tyumen | Second League - Group 4 |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Amkar 0-2 Tyumen | Second League - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Amkar score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tyumen score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amkar | 1.8 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Tyumen | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Amkar sit 2nd in Second League A - Division A Silver (12 points from 5 matches) and Tyumen sit 3rd (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Amkar | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Tyumen | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Amkar vs Tyumen?
- The Footlab model makes Amkar the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Tyumen.
- Where and when is Amkar vs Tyumen played?
- Amkar vs Tyumen is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Zvezda, in the Second League A - Division A Silver.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.