Ancona vs Fossombrone: result 1-1 and analysis
Coppa Italia Serie DRound of 64Kick-off on October 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio del Conero, Ancona
Full time
What was the result of Ancona vs Fossombrone?
Ancona and Fossombrone drew 1-1 on October 7, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 80′582666Ancona
- 87′680398Fossombrone
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Ancona win at 61%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 2-0. Actual score: 1-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ancona have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Fossombrone have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Angelana(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | L'Aquila(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Maceratese(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Montecchio Gallo(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lanciano FC(home) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 12, 2026 | L'Aquila(home) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Ancona win, 3 draws, 1 Fossombrone win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Fossombrone 1-2 Ancona | Serie D - Girone F |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Ancona 1-2 Fossombrone | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Fossombrone 0-0 Ancona | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Fossombrone 1-1 Ancona | Serie D - Girone F |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Ancona 1-1 Fossombrone | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Fossombrone vs Ancona on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ancona score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fossombrone score 0.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ancona | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Fossombrone | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Ancona vs Fossombrone?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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