Angkor Tiger vs National Defense: prediction and stats
C-LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Akihiro Kato Stadium, Siem Reap
The Footlab model makes Angkor Tiger the favourite at 88%, against 8% for a draw and 4% for National Defense. The most likely score is 3-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Angkor Tiger vs National Defense?
Angkor Tiger is a heavy favourite: 1,687 Elo points against 1,366 — a 321-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Angkor Tiger have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; National Defense have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | NagaWorld(home) | 4-1 | C-League |
| May 10, 2026 | Kompong Dewa(away) | 2-1 | C-League |
| May 3, 2026 | Svay Rieng(home) | 4-3 | C-League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Boeung Ket(home) | 2-0 | C-League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Phnom Penh Crown(away) | 0-2 | C-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Dangkor Senchey(away) | 0-6 | C-League |
| May 9, 2026 | Visakha(away) | 0-4 | C-League |
| May 2, 2026 | Life Sihanoukville(home) | 0-4 | C-League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Kirivong Sok Sen Chey(home) | 3-1 | C-League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Visakha(home) | 1-3 | C-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Angkor Tiger win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 National Defense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Angkor Tiger 7-1 National Defense | C-League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | National Defense 0-3 Angkor Tiger | C-League |
| Feb 5, 2025 | National Defense 3-3 Angkor Tiger | Hun Sen Cup |
| Jan 23, 2025 | Angkor Tiger 0-3 National Defense | Hun Sen Cup |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Angkor Tiger 5-0 National Defense | C-League |
| Aug 25, 2024 | National Defense 1-2 Angkor Tiger | C-League |
Last archived meeting: Angkor Tiger vs National Defense on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Angkor Tiger score 2.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; National Defense score 0.8 and concede 3.5. The model gives a 87% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angkor Tiger | 2.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| National Defense | 0.8 | 3.5 | 0 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Angkor Tiger sit 2nd in C-League (56 points from 30 matches) and National Defense sit 3rd (21 points from 28 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Angkor Tiger | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 41 | 56 |
| 3 | National Defense | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 76 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Angkor Tiger vs National Defense?
- The Footlab model makes Angkor Tiger the favourite at 88%, against 8% for a draw and 4% for National Defense.
- Where and when is Angkor Tiger vs National Defense played?
- Angkor Tiger vs National Defense is played on October 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Akihiro Kato Stadium, in the C-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 87% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.