Kompong Dewa vs National Defense: prediction and stats
C-LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Kompong Dewa the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for National Defense. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kompong Dewa vs National Defense?
Kompong Dewa starts as the favourite with a 203-point Elo edge (1,569 vs 1,366).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kompong Dewa have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; National Defense have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Boeung Ket(away) | 3-4 | C-League |
| May 10, 2026 | Angkor Tiger(home) | 1-2 | C-League |
| May 3, 2026 | NagaWorld(away) | 3-1 | C-League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Phnom Penh Crown(home) | 1-0 | C-League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Svay Rieng(home) | 2-3 | C-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Dangkor Senchey(away) | 0-6 | C-League |
| May 9, 2026 | Visakha(away) | 0-4 | C-League |
| May 2, 2026 | Life Sihanoukville(home) | 0-4 | C-League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Kirivong Sok Sen Chey(home) | 3-1 | C-League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Visakha(home) | 1-3 | C-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Kompong Dewa win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 National Defense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | National Defense 0-3 Kompong Dewa | C-League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Kompong Dewa 0-0 National Defense | C-League |
Last archived meeting: National Defense vs Kompong Dewa on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kompong Dewa score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; National Defense score 0.8 and concede 3.5. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kompong Dewa | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| National Defense | 0.8 | 3.5 | 0 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kompong Dewa sit 6th in C-League (40 points from 30 matches) and National Defense sit 3rd (21 points from 28 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | National Defense | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 76 | 21 |
| 6 | Kompong Dewa | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 41 | 46 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kompong Dewa vs National Defense?
- The Footlab model makes Kompong Dewa the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for National Defense.
- Where and when is Kompong Dewa vs National Defense played?
- Kompong Dewa vs National Defense is played on November 22, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the C-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.