Ankaragücü vs İskenderunspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 30Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Eryaman Stadyumu, Ankara
The Footlab model makes Ankaragücü the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for İskenderunspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ankaragücü vs İskenderunspor?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Ankaragücü (1,810) and İskenderunspor (1,733).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ankaragücü have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; İskenderunspor have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | İskenderunspor(home) | 4-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Erbaaspor(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | İnegölspor(home) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Kepezspor(away) | 3-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Bucaspor 1928(home) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ankaragücü(away) | 1-4 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Elazığspor(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(away) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | 24 Erzincanspor(home) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Erbaaspor(away) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Ankaragücü win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 İskenderunspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ankaragücü 4-1 İskenderunspor | 2. Lig |
| Dec 28, 2025 | İskenderunspor 4-2 Ankaragücü | 2. Lig |
| Jan 7, 2025 | Ankaragücü 1-1 İskenderunspor | Türkiye Kupası |
| Dec 7, 2023 | Ankaragücü 3-1 İskenderunspor | Türkiye Kupası |
Last archived meeting: Ankaragücü vs İskenderunspor on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ankaragücü score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; İskenderunspor score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| İskenderunspor | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ankaragücü sit 6th in 2. Lig (63 points from 36 matches) and İskenderunspor sit 8th (56 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ankaragücü | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 52 | 41 | 63 |
| 8 | İskenderunspor | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 44 | 56 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ankaragücü vs İskenderunspor?
- The Footlab model makes Ankaragücü the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for İskenderunspor.
- Where and when is Ankaragücü vs İskenderunspor played?
- Ankaragücü vs İskenderunspor is played on March 28, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Eryaman Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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