Serik Spor vs Sakaryaspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 30Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)İsmail Ogan Stadyumu, Serik
The Footlab model makes Serik Spor the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Sakaryaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Serik Spor vs Sakaryaspor?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Serik Spor (1,689) and Sakaryaspor (1,672).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Serik Spor have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Sakaryaspor have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Boluspor(away) | 1-3 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hatayspor(home) | 4-2 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(away) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Vanspor FK(home) | 1-6 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(away) | 0-5 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 0-4 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Hatayspor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(home) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Serik Spor win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Sakaryaspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Serik Spor 2-0 Sakaryaspor | 1. Lig |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Sakaryaspor 2-3 Serik Spor | 1. Lig |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Serik Spor 1-2 Sakaryaspor | 2. Lig |
| Dec 12, 2021 | Sakaryaspor 2-1 Serik Spor | 2. Lig |
| Apr 15, 2021 | Serik Spor 0-3 Sakaryaspor | 2. Lig |
| Jan 18, 2021 | Sakaryaspor 1-1 Serik Spor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Serik Spor vs Sakaryaspor on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Serik Spor score 1.4 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sakaryaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serik Spor | 1.4 | 2.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Sakaryaspor | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Serik Spor vs Sakaryaspor?
- The Footlab model makes Serik Spor the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Sakaryaspor.
- Where and when is Serik Spor vs Sakaryaspor played?
- Serik Spor vs Sakaryaspor is played on March 28, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at İsmail Ogan Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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