Match

Serik Spor vs Sakaryaspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 30Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)İsmail Ogan Stadyumu, Serik

Serik SporSakaryaspor

The Footlab model makes Serik Spor the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Sakaryaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Serik Spor vs Sakaryaspor?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Serik Spor (1,689) and Sakaryaspor (1,672).

Serik Spor win44 %
Draw25 %
Sakaryaspor win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Serik Spor have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Sakaryaspor have 2, 5 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Serik Spor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 1, 2026Boluspor(away)1-31. Lig
Apr 25, 2026Hatayspor(home)4-21. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Manisa F.K.(away)0-11. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Keçiörengücü(away)0-01. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Vanspor FK(home)1-61. Lig
Sakaryaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 1, 2026Manisa F.K.(away)0-51. Lig
Apr 26, 2026Çorum FK(home)0-41. Lig
Apr 18, 2026Hatayspor(away)1-11. Lig
Apr 13, 2026Esenler Erokspor(home)1-21. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Ümraniyespor(away)0-21. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Serik Spor win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Sakaryaspor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Serik Spor 2-0 Sakaryaspor1. Lig
Nov 8, 2025Sakaryaspor 2-3 Serik Spor1. Lig
Apr 24, 2022Serik Spor 1-2 Sakaryaspor2. Lig
Dec 12, 2021Sakaryaspor 2-1 Serik Spor2. Lig
Apr 15, 2021Serik Spor 0-3 Sakaryaspor2. Lig
Jan 18, 2021Sakaryaspor 1-1 Serik Spor2. Lig

Last archived meeting: Serik Spor vs Sakaryaspor on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Serik Spor score 1.4 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sakaryaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Serik Spor1.42.137/1510/15
Sakaryaspor0.91.927/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Serik Spor vs Sakaryaspor?
The Footlab model makes Serik Spor the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Sakaryaspor.
Where and when is Serik Spor vs Sakaryaspor played?
Serik Spor vs Sakaryaspor is played on March 28, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at İsmail Ogan Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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