Annan Athletic vs Kelty Hearts: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Galabank, Annan
The Footlab model makes Annan Athletic the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Kelty Hearts. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Annan Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Annan Athletic (1,484) and Kelty Hearts (1,528).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Annan Athletic have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Kelty Hearts have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Edinburgh City(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Clyde(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(away) | 0-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stranraer(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spartans(home) | 2-4 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dumbarton(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Elgin City(away) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Motherwell U21(home) | 4-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stirling Albion(home) | 3-2 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Annan Athletic win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Kelty Hearts win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2025 | Kelty Hearts 1-0 Annan Athletic | Challenge Cup |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Annan Athletic 2-1 Kelty Hearts | League One |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Kelty Hearts 1-3 Annan Athletic | League One |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Annan Athletic 0-2 Kelty Hearts | League One |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Kelty Hearts 3-0 Annan Athletic | League One |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Annan Athletic 3-2 Kelty Hearts | League One |
Last archived meeting: Kelty Hearts vs Annan Athletic on Aug 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Annan Athletic score 1.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kelty Hearts score 1.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annan Athletic | 1.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Kelty Hearts | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Annan Athletic sit 8th in League Two (3 points from 4 matches) and Kelty Hearts sit 4th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kelty Hearts | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 8 | Annan Athletic | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Annan Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?
- The Footlab model makes Annan Athletic the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Kelty Hearts.
- Where and when is Annan Athletic vs Kelty Hearts played?
- Annan Athletic vs Kelty Hearts is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Galabank, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.