Stranraer vs Stirling Albion: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stair Park, Stranraer
The Footlab model makes Stranraer the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Stirling Albion. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stranraer vs Stirling Albion?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Stranraer (1,544) and Stirling Albion (1,489).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stranraer have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Stirling Albion have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stirling Albion(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spartans(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(away) | 1-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Annan Athletic(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Clyde(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stranraer(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cove Rangers(home) | 4-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(away) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dumbarton(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Stranraer win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Stirling Albion win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stirling Albion 2-2 Stranraer | League Two |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Stranraer 1-1 Stirling Albion | League Two |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Stirling Albion 1-1 Stranraer | League Two |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Stranraer 3-2 Stirling Albion | League Two |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Stirling Albion 1-0 Stranraer | League Two |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Stirling Albion 3-1 Stranraer | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Stirling Albion vs Stranraer on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stranraer score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stirling Albion score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stranraer | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Stirling Albion | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stranraer sit 7th in League Two (4 points from 4 matches) and Stirling Albion sit 6th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Stirling Albion | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| 7 | Stranraer | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stranraer vs Stirling Albion?
- The Footlab model makes Stranraer the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Stirling Albion.
- Where and when is Stranraer vs Stirling Albion played?
- Stranraer vs Stirling Albion is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stair Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.