Ansbach vs Eltersdorf: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 10Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Xaver-Bertsch-Sportpark, Ansbach
The Footlab model makes Eltersdorf the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Ansbach. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ansbach vs Eltersdorf?
Eltersdorf starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,910 vs 1,746).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ansbach have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Eltersdorf have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Buchbach(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eichstätt(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Memmingen(away) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(home) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Essingen(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Greuther Fürth II(home) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Nürnberg II(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Vilzing(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Bayern München II(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
How many goals should we expect?
Ansbach score 1.8 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Eltersdorf score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ansbach | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Eltersdorf | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ansbach sit 19th in Regionalliga - Bayern (0 points from 4 matches) and Eltersdorf sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Eltersdorf | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 19 | Ansbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ansbach vs Eltersdorf?
- The Footlab model makes Eltersdorf the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Ansbach.
- Where and when is Ansbach vs Eltersdorf played?
- Ansbach vs Eltersdorf is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Xaver-Bertsch-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026TSV 1860 MünchenvsNürnberg II
- Sep 19, 2026EichstättvsGreuther Fürth II
- Sep 19, 2026AubstadtvsBayern München II
- Sep 19, 2026BayreuthvsSpVgg Unterhaching
- Sep 19, 2026BuchbachvsFC Schweinfurt 05
- Sep 19, 2026Wacker BurghausenvsAugsburg II
- Sep 19, 2026Schwaben AugsburgvsLandsberg
- Sep 20, 2026IllertissenvsMemmingen