Match

Bayreuth vs SpVgg Unterhaching: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 10Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Hans-Walter-Wild-Stadion, Bayreuth

BayreuthSpVgg Unterhaching

The Footlab model makes SpVgg Unterhaching the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Bayreuth. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bayreuth vs SpVgg Unterhaching?

A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Bayreuth (1,824) and SpVgg Unterhaching (1,920).

Bayreuth win33 %
Draw27 %
SpVgg Unterhaching win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayreuth have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; SpVgg Unterhaching have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bayreuth
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Illertissen(home)2-2Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026FC Schweinfurt 05(away)1-2Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 7, 2026Memmingen(home)1-3Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 1, 2026Greuther Fürth II(away)2-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 24, 2026Augsburg II(home)3-0Regionalliga - Bayern
SpVgg Unterhaching
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Illertissen(away)0-3Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 8, 2026Eltersdorf(home)0-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 31, 2026Nürnberg II(away)2-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 25, 2026Greuther Fürth II(home)1-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 15, 2026Chemnitzer FC(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Bayreuth win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 SpVgg Unterhaching win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 24, 2026Bayreuth 2-3 SpVgg UnterhachingRegionalliga - Bayern
Oct 17, 2025SpVgg Unterhaching 1-1 BayreuthRegionalliga - Bayern
Apr 14, 2022SpVgg Unterhaching 2-2 BayreuthRegionalliga - Bayern
Feb 19, 2022Bayreuth 2-1 SpVgg UnterhachingRegionalliga - Bayern

Last archived meeting: Bayreuth vs SpVgg Unterhaching on Apr 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bayreuth score 2.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; SpVgg Unterhaching score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bayreuth2.21.459/1511/15
SpVgg Unterhaching2.11.365/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bayreuth sit 10th in Regionalliga - Bayern (7 points from 5 matches) and SpVgg Unterhaching sit 11th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Bayreuth5212977
11SpVgg Unterhaching4211347

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bayreuth vs SpVgg Unterhaching?
The Footlab model makes SpVgg Unterhaching the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Bayreuth.
Where and when is Bayreuth vs SpVgg Unterhaching played?
Bayreuth vs SpVgg Unterhaching is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Hans-Walter-Wild-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bayreuth and SpVgg Unterhaching

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