Anstey Nomads vs Bury Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Cropston Road, Leicester, Leicestershire
The Footlab model makes Anstey Nomads the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Bury Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Anstey Nomads vs Bury Town?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Anstey Nomads (1,954) and Bury Town (1,881).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Anstey Nomads have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Bury Town have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leighton Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leiston(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Wellingborough Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leamington(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stratford Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stamford(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Halesowen Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AFC Sudbury(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Anstey Nomads score 2.4 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Bury Town score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anstey Nomads | 2.4 | 0.6 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Bury Town | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Anstey Nomads sit 15th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (2 points from 2 matches) and Bury Town sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bury Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 15 | Anstey Nomads | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Anstey Nomads vs Bury Town?
- The Footlab model makes Anstey Nomads the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Bury Town.
- Where and when is Anstey Nomads vs Bury Town played?
- Anstey Nomads vs Bury Town is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Cropston Road, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027StamfordvsLeiston
- Apr 17, 2027StourbridgevsStratford Town
- Apr 17, 2027Banbury UnitedvsHitchin Town
- Apr 17, 2027Bishop's StortfordvsKettering Town
- Apr 17, 2027Bromsgrove SportingvsHalesowen Town
- Apr 17, 2027Redditch UnitedvsRushall Olympic
- Apr 17, 2027LeamingtonvsLeighton Town
- Apr 17, 2027Racing Club WarwickvsNeedham Market